concept:prediction-cutoff
Prediction Cutoff
Prediction Cutoff in the context of production machine-learning systems.
Lessons
Formal explanations, examples, simulations, and checkpoints.
Problem framing, statistics & evaluation
Predict decisions, not just labels
A model score earns its place by improving a declared decision.
Problem framing, statistics & evaluationLabels, availability, and leakage
Train on what the system knew then, label with what became known later.
Problem framing, statistics & evaluationBaselines and honest splits
A baseline sets the floor; an honest split keeps the ruler straight.
Courses & assignments
Dependency-authoritative learning units.
Casebook
Reported facts and course reconstructions.